Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Los Angeles Angels

2026-09-25 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 63.59%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%63.53%63.68%66.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.5470.42%66.80%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 36.41%2.75momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.691%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.65%36.47%36.32%37.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.622.8041.67%38.29%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Mariners (Local): 63.59%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 36.41%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.75. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.93%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.93%E +0.691%K +1.07%G +0.021%6.1%2026-09-24 07:25
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.114%E +0.041%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-24 04:23
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -0.614%E -0.225%K -0.355%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-24 07:15
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.71%E -0.632%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-24 05:37
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.43%E -0.908%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 01:05
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 05:09
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:09
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 03:44
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 07:20
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 06:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:50
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:50
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:50
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 02:50
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 03:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 05:29
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 01:05
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.62%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 01:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.34%E -2.19%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.98%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 06:04
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 01:45
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.34%E -2.19%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 01:14
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 02:55
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 03:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 05:20
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 03:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 05:25
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.44%E -2.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 01:39
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.44%E -2.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 03:45
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 03:45
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.19%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 06:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 06:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 01:34
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 06:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.99%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.99%E -3.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-24 02:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 06:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-24 06:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-09-24 07:44
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-24 01:10
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-09-24 07:40
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-09-24 07:35
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-09-24 07:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-09-24 05:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-09-24 06:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-09-24 05:55
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%3.0%2026-09-24 07:35
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%4.3%2026-09-24 07:30