La scuola delle quote

Seattle Mariners v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-05-03 01:52 UTC

Finale: Seattle Mariners 2–3 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Casa)

Previsione 56.13%1.78quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%56.15%56.09%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.96%58.82%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.87%2.28quota equa
EV -0.849%
Vantaggio -0.376%
Kelly -0.674%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.86%43.85%43.91%44.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.202.2647.62%45.69%45.45%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.73%E -0.771%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 01:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 01:39
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 01:42
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 01:41
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 01:49
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.849%E -0.376%K -0.674%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 01:42
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 01:39
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 01:49
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 01:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 01:39
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 01:39
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 01:50
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.29%E -0.572%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 01:50
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 01:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 01:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.92%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 01:49
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 01:39
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 01:39
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.24%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 01:46
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:46
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 01:50
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.29%E -0.572%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 01:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 01:49
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 01:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.24%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 01:49
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.24%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 01:48
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 01:38
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:48
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:42
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 01:47
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 01:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-03 01:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-03 01:50
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-05-03 01:41
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-03 01:39
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-05-03 01:50
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%4.9%2026-05-03 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-05-03 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-05-03 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-05-03 01:49
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%10.0%2026-05-03 01:44