La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-05-03 01:52 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 2–3 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 56.13%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.15%56.09%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.96%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 43.87%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.849%
Ventaja -0.376%
Kelly -0.674%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%43.85%43.91%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.202.2647.62%45.69%45.45%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.73%E -0.771%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 01:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 01:39
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 01:42
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 01:41
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 01:49
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.849%E -0.376%K -0.674%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 01:42
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 01:39
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 01:49
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 01:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 01:39
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 01:39
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 01:50
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.29%E -0.572%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 01:50
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 01:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 01:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.92%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 01:49
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 01:39
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 01:39
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.24%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 01:46
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:46
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.58%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 01:50
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.29%E -0.572%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 01:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 01:49
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 01:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.80%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.24%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 01:49
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.24%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 01:48
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.17%E -0.971%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 01:38
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:48
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:42
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 01:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 01:47
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 01:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-03 01:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-03 01:50
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-05-03 01:41
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-03 01:39
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-05-03 01:50
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%4.9%2026-05-03 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-05-03 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-05-03 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-05-03 01:49
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%10.0%2026-05-03 01:44