Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 2.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 56.55%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 43.45%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.302. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.300, with an expected value of -0.075%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.03%E -0.589%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.60%E -0.917%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.25%E -0.999%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-20 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.60%E -0.917%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.94%E -5.33%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.60%E -0.917%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.94%E -5.33%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.944%E -0.414%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.38%E -0.607%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-20 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -10.50%E -5.10%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.94%E -5.33%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.075%E -0.033%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.38%E -0.607%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.38%E -0.607%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.38%E -0.607%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.81%E -0.802%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-20 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 18:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 19:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 19:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.25%E -0.999%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 20:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.94%E -5.33%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 19:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.25%E -0.999%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 20:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 19:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.69%E -4.05%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.25%E -4.42%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.25%E -4.42%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.38%E -5.17%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 19:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-05-20 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.9% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |