La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-05-20 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 5–4 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 56.55%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.589%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%56.15%56.58%57.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.21%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 43.45%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.075%
Ventaja -0.033%
Kelly -0.058%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%43.85%43.42%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.52%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.03%E -0.589%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 20:10
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.60%E -0.917%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.25%E -0.999%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-20 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.60%E -0.917%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.94%E -5.33%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 20:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.60%E -0.917%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.94%E -5.33%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 20:10
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.944%E -0.414%K -0.737%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 20:09
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.38%E -0.607%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 18:50
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -10.50%E -5.10%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.94%E -5.33%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 20:10
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.075%E -0.033%K -0.058%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 20:09
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.38%E -0.607%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.38%E -0.607%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 20:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.38%E -0.607%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 20:00
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.81%E -0.802%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-20 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 18:50
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 19:39
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 19:50
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 20:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.25%E -0.999%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 20:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 18:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 18:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 20:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:40
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.94%E -5.33%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 19:59
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.25%E -0.999%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 16:00
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 19:40
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 20:08
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 20:10
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 19:49
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 19:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 20:10
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 19:40
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 19:49
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 19:50
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 19:40
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 20:10
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 20:10
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 20:10
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 20:10
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 20:10
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 20:10
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 20:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:29
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 20:10
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 20:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 20:10
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.55%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.69%E -4.05%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 18:40
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.25%E -4.42%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 20:10
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.25%E -4.42%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 20:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.38%E -5.17%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-20 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-20 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-20 19:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-20 20:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-20 20:10
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-20 20:09
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-05-20 20:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-05-20 20:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-05-20 20:10