默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v Boston Red Sox

开赛时间: 2026-06-21 02:11 UTC

最终结果: Seattle Mariners 1–5 Boston Red Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 53.40%1.87公平赔率
EV -1.21%
优势 -0.654%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.95%53.43%53.39%55.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.781.781.8558.48%56.30%56.18%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Red Sox (客队)

预测 46.60%2.15公平赔率
EV +0.190%
优势 +0.089%
Kelly +0.165%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
44.79%46.57%46.61%48.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.45%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Seattle Mariners (主队):53.40%;Boston Red Sox (客队):46.60%。 对于“Boston Red Sox (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.146。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.150,对应+0.190%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV +0.190%E +0.089%K +0.165%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.276%E -0.129%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.276%E -0.129%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-21 02:09
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:39
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:29
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 06:39
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 07:19
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.69%E -5.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 01:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.61%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.54%E -1.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 00:19
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.54%E -1.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 02:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 20:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 01:29
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 05:29
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.41%E -2.47%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 13:09
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:59
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 15:29
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 06:39
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 01:30
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 01:29
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.21%E -0.654%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 01:00
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 13:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 14:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 13:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 01:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 01:46
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 23:49
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 02:06
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-21 02:00
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-21 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-06-21 02:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-21 02:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-20 14:49
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-21 02:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%4.9%2026-06-21 02:10