مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Boston Red Sox

البداية: 2026-06-21 02:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 1–5 Boston Red Sox

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.40%1.87السعر العادل
EV -1.21%
الأفضلية -0.654%
Kelly -1.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.95%53.43%53.39%55.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.781.781.8558.48%56.30%56.18%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Boston Red Sox (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.60%2.15السعر العادل
EV +0.190%
الأفضلية +0.089%
Kelly +0.165%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.79%46.57%46.61%48.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.45%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV +0.190%E +0.089%K +0.165%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.276%E -0.129%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 01:30
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.276%E -0.129%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 01:30
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-21 02:09
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:30
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:30
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:39
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:39
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:29
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 06:39
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 01:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 07:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 01:29
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.69%E -5.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 01:29
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.61%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.54%E -1.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 00:19
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.54%E -1.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 02:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 02:30
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 20:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 20:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 01:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 05:29
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.41%E -2.47%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 13:09
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:59
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 20:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 15:29
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 14:39
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 06:39
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 01:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 01:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.21%E -0.654%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 01:00
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 02:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 13:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 14:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 13:09
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 01:59
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 01:46
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 13:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 23:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 02:06
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-21 02:00
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-21 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-06-21 02:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-21 02:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-20 14:49
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-21 02:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%4.9%2026-06-21 02:10