La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-21 02:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 1–5 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 53.40%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.654%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.95%53.43%53.39%55.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.781.781.8558.48%56.30%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 46.60%2.15momio equitativo
EV +0.190%
Ventaja +0.089%
Kelly +0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.79%46.57%46.61%48.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.45%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV +0.190%E +0.089%K +0.165%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.276%E -0.129%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 01:30
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.276%E -0.129%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 01:30
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-21 02:09
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:30
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:30
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:39
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 01:39
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:29
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.21%E -0.570%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.67%E -0.793%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 02:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 06:39
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 01:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 07:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 01:29
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.69%E -5.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 01:29
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.61%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.54%E -1.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 00:19
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.54%E -1.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 02:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 02:30
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 20:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 20:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 01:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 05:29
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.41%E -2.47%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 13:09
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:59
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 20:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:30
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 02:09
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 15:29
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 14:39
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 06:39
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 01:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 01:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.21%E -0.654%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.81%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 01:00
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 02:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 13:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 14:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 13:09
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 01:59
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 01:46
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 13:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 23:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 02:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-21 02:00
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-21 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-06-21 02:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-21 02:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-20 14:49
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-21 02:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%4.9%2026-06-21 02:10