A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-06-17 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–1 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 57.08%1.75odd justa
EV +8.45%
Vantagem +4.45%
Kelly +9.39%
Crescimento +0.793%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%56.45%57.02%59.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.661.671.90100.00%60.07%59.88%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 42.92%2.33odd justa
EV +0.010%
Vantagem +0.004%
Kelly +0.008%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.62%43.55%42.98%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.002.192.232.33100.00%45.62%44.84%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +8.45%E +4.45%K +9.39%G +0.793%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -18.45%E -9.71%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +6.73%E +3.60%K +7.74%G +0.521%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -18.02%E -9.43%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 01:40
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.26%E -0.726%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.57%E -1.13%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 01:39
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.14%E -0.937%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 01:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.57%E -1.13%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 01:30
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:20
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 01:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 14:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.14%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 01:39
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.848%E -0.367%K -0.648%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-17 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 01:29
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.85%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 00:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 23:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:30
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 01:40
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 23:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 05:39
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 23:57
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:30
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:30
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:30
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.71%E -2.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 00:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.85%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 23:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:30
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 20:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:30
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 01:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 01:19
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.37%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 01:40
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -9.82%E -6.21%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -0.848%E -0.367%K -0.648%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -42.92%E -42.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -57.08%E -57.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-06-17 01:40
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-06-17 01:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-17 01:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 50.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%12.7%2026-06-17 01:40