مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-06-17 01:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 3–1 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.08%1.75السعر العادل
EV +8.45%
الأفضلية +4.45%
Kelly +9.39%
النمو +0.793%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%56.45%57.02%59.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.661.671.90100.00%60.07%59.88%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.92%2.33السعر العادل
EV +0.010%
الأفضلية +0.004%
Kelly +0.008%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.62%43.55%42.98%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.002.192.232.33100.00%45.62%44.84%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +8.45%E +4.45%K +9.39%G +0.793%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -18.45%E -9.71%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +6.73%E +3.60%K +7.74%G +0.521%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -18.02%E -9.43%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 01:40
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.26%E -0.726%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.57%E -1.13%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 01:39
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.14%E -0.937%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 01:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.57%E -1.13%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 01:30
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:20
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 01:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 14:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.14%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 01:39
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.848%E -0.367%K -0.648%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-17 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 01:29
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.85%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 00:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 23:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:30
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 01:40
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 23:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 05:39
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 23:57
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:30
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:30
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:30
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.71%E -2.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 00:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.85%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 23:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:30
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 20:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:30
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 01:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 01:19
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.37%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 01:40
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -9.82%E -6.21%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -0.848%E -0.367%K -0.648%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -42.92%E -42.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -57.08%E -57.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-06-17 01:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-06-17 01:40
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-06-17 01:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-17 01:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 50.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%12.7%2026-06-17 01:40