La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-06-17 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–1 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 57.08%1.75momio equitativo
EV +8.45%
Ventaja +4.45%
Kelly +9.39%
Crecimiento +0.793%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%56.45%57.02%59.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.661.671.90100.00%60.07%59.88%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 42.92%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.010%
Ventaja +0.004%
Kelly +0.008%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.62%43.55%42.98%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.002.192.232.33100.00%45.62%44.84%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +8.45%E +4.45%K +9.39%G +0.793%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -18.45%E -9.71%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +6.73%E +3.60%K +7.74%G +0.521%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -18.02%E -9.43%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 01:40
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.26%E -0.726%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.57%E -1.13%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 01:39
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.14%E -0.937%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 01:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.57%E -1.13%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 01:30
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 01:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:20
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 01:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 14:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.14%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 01:39
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.848%E -0.367%K -0.648%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-17 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 01:29
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.85%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 00:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 23:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:30
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 01:40
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 23:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 05:39
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 23:57
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 01:30
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:30
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:30
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.71%E -2.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 00:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.85%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 23:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 01:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.28%E -0.555%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:30
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 20:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:30
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.39%E -3.90%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 01:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 01:19
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -7.29%E -3.37%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 01:40
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -9.82%E -6.21%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -0.848%E -0.367%K -0.648%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -42.92%E -42.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -57.08%E -57.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 01:40
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-06-17 01:40
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-06-17 01:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-17 01:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-06-17 01:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 50.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%12.7%2026-06-17 01:40