A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-05-06 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 2–3 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 54.48%1.84odd justa
EV +0.786%
Vantagem +0.425%
Kelly +0.925%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.39%54.53%56.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.751.751.8559.88%57.11%57.14%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 45.52%2.20odd justa
EV +1.06%
Vantagem +0.476%
Kelly +0.866%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%45.61%45.47%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.922.112.102.2252.08%47.49%47.62%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV +1.06%E +0.476%K +0.866%G +0.009%2.2%2026-05-06 00:34
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.147%E +0.067%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 01:04
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.48%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.22%E -0.562%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 01:35
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.22%E -0.562%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 23:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.67%E -0.775%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 22:00
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.48%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 01:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 11:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 00:31
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 23:45
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 01:34
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 01:35
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:44
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.95%E -1.87%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 01:33
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.304%E -0.166%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 01:34
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:35
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:29
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:38
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:35
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:34
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 23:55
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.304%E -0.166%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.86%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 01:35
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.86%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 01:34
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.786%E +0.425%K +0.925%G +0.007%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 01:38
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.786%E +0.425%K +0.925%G +0.007%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 01:40
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 01:38
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 01:34
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 01:35
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 01:34
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -12.60%E -6.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-06 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-06 01:35
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-06 01:39
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-06 01:35
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-05-06 01:39
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-05 21:45
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%2.2%2026-05-06 01:39