مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Atlanta Braves

البداية: 2026-05-06 01:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 2–3 Atlanta Braves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.48%1.84السعر العادل
EV +0.786%
الأفضلية +0.425%
Kelly +0.925%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.63%54.39%54.53%56.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.751.751.8559.88%57.11%57.14%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlanta Braves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.52%2.20السعر العادل
EV +1.06%
الأفضلية +0.476%
Kelly +0.866%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.72%45.61%45.47%47.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.922.112.102.2252.08%47.49%47.62%45.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV +1.06%E +0.476%K +0.866%G +0.009%2.2%2026-05-06 00:34
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.147%E +0.067%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 01:04
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.48%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.22%E -0.562%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 01:35
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.22%E -0.562%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 23:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.67%E -0.775%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 22:00
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.48%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 01:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 11:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 00:31
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 23:45
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 01:34
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 01:35
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:44
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.95%E -1.87%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 01:33
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.304%E -0.166%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 01:34
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:35
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:29
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:38
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:35
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:34
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 23:55
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.304%E -0.166%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.86%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 01:35
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.86%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 01:34
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.786%E +0.425%K +0.925%G +0.007%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 01:38
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.786%E +0.425%K +0.925%G +0.007%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 01:40
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 01:38
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 01:34
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 01:35
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 01:34
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -12.60%E -6.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-06 01:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-06 01:35
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-06 01:39
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-06 01:35
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-05-06 01:39
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-05 21:45
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%2.2%2026-05-06 01:39