L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 01:41 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 2–3 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 54.48%1.84cote équitable
EV +0.786%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.925%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.39%54.53%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8559.88%57.11%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.52%2.20cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.476%
Kelly +0.866%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%45.61%45.47%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.112.102.2252.08%47.49%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV +1.06%E +0.476%K +0.866%G +0.009%2.2%2026-05-06 00:34
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.147%E +0.067%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 01:04
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.48%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.22%E -0.562%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 01:35
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.22%E -0.562%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 23:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.67%E -0.775%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 22:00
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.48%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 01:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 11:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 00:31
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.13%E -0.990%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 23:45
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 23:45
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 01:34
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 01:35
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:44
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:45
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.95%E -1.87%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 01:33
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.304%E -0.166%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 01:34
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:35
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:29
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:38
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 01:30
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:35
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:34
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 01:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 23:55
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.304%E -0.166%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.86%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 01:35
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.86%E -2.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 01:34
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.786%E +0.425%K +0.925%G +0.007%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 01:38
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.786%E +0.425%K +0.925%G +0.007%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 01:40
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 01:38
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 01:34
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 01:35
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 01:34
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -12.60%E -6.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-06 01:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-06 01:35
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-06 01:39
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 01:39
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-06 01:35
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-05-06 01:39
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-05 21:45
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%2.2%2026-05-06 01:39