默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

2026-09-05 02:10 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 65.80%1.52公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -1.77%
Kelly -5.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
65.00%65.83%65.88%66.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.451.451.4871.43%69.00%68.97%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Athletics (客队)

预测 34.20%2.92公平赔率
EV -1.16%
优势 -0.401%
Kelly -0.613%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.89

博彩公司预测分布
33.87%34.17%34.12%35.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.782.802.8938.46%36.01%35.71%34.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Seattle Mariners (主队):65.80%;Athletics (客队):34.20%。 对于“Athletics (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.92。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.89,期望值为-1.16%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.16%E -0.401%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-03 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.16%E -0.401%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-03 19:35
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.53%E -0.887%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 19:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.55%E -1.26%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 19:39
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:35
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:45
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:45
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:39
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.37%E -3.53%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.08%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 19:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-03 19:45
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-03 19:40
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%9.9%2026-09-03 19:40
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 66.92%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.08%13.2%2026-09-03 19:45