Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

Início: 2026-09-05 02:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 6–7 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 66.04%1.51odd justa
EV -0.285%
Vantagem -0.189%
Kelly -0.558%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.48%66.08%66.04%67.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.451.5171.43%69.00%68.97%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 33.96%2.94odd justa
EV +1.89%
Vantagem +0.630%
Kelly +0.945%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.49%33.92%33.96%35.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.792.803.0037.74%35.80%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 66.04%; Athletics (Visitante): 33.96%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.94. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +1.89%E +0.630%K +0.945%G +0.018%2.3%2026-09-04 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -0.148%E -0.050%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 13:29
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -5.57%E -3.89%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -0.148%E -0.050%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.89%E -4.89%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -0.487%E -0.166%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.51%E -0.519%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -1.51%E -0.519%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.19%E -0.759%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 10:29
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.53%E -0.880%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.53%E -0.880%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.53%E -0.880%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 13:45
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.53%E -0.880%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 13:45
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.86%E -1.00%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 13:29
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -2.86%E -1.00%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Everygame🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.27%E -1.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 06:24
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 12:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.54%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:28
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.285%E -0.189%K -0.558%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.56%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 10:24
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.27%E -1.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 10:29
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:59
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:00
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:05
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:03
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:04
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.57%E -3.89%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:49
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 12:59
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.93%E -1.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 10:29
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.59%E -2.46%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:45
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:44
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:29
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:29
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:29
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:30
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:49
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:48
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.59%E -2.46%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -7.62%E -2.80%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.27%E -1.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.27%E -1.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.57%E -3.89%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.59%E -2.46%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.89%E -4.89%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 10:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.54%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.46%0.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-09-04 14:15
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-09-04 14:15
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-09-04 14:00