Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.23
assuming max odds 1.87
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 45.68%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 54.32%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.86%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -5.90%E -2.87%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +1.58%E +0.846%K +1.82%G +0.029% | 2.0% | 2026-09-22 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -7.73%E -3.83%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -0.591%E -0.323%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.13%E -0.623%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.79%E -0.834%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.68%E -0.927%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.68%E -0.927%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 00:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.79%E -0.834%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.22%E -1.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-22 01:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.22%E -1.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.22%E -1.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.93%E -5.60%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.22%E -1.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-22 01:32 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.93%E -5.60%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.22%E -1.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.879%E -0.405%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-22 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-22 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.422%E -0.194%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.422%E -0.194%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 01:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 01:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.85%E -2.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.879%E -0.405%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 01:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 01:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.45%E -2.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 01:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.39%E -2.50%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.79%E -0.834%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.16%E -1.49%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 01:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 01:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.99%E -2.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.79%E -0.834%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-22 01:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.16%E -1.49%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 01:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.36%E -3.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -8.19%E -4.07%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -7.11%E -4.16%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-22 01:37 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +1.86%E +0.835%K +1.51%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +1.86%E +0.835%K +1.51%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +1.86%E +0.835%K +1.51%G +0.028% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 01:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.492%E +0.223%K +0.410%G +0.002% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.13%EV -10.93%E -5.60%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -0.879%E -0.405%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -10.37%E -6.28%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -0.879%E -0.405%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -10.37%E -6.28%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -3.16%E -1.49%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -12.00%E -7.41%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-22 01:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-22 01:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 3.2% | 2026-09-22 01:34 |