Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Minnesota Twins

2026-09-22 01:46 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 48.40%2.07momio equitativo
EV -0.780%
Ventaja -0.380%
Kelly -0.743%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%48.34%48.43%49.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.861.971.962.0553.76%50.84%50.89%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 51.60%1.94momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.756%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.66%51.66%51.57%53.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.851.851.9157.14%54.09%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Francisco Giants (Local): 48.40%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 51.60%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.07. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.05, con un valor esperado de -0.780%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.780%E -0.380%K -0.743%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.67%E -4.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 02:24
Caesars🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -1.26%E -0.620%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 20:44
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-21 01:04
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.44%E -0.756%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-21 00:54
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.44%E -0.756%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.44%E -0.756%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 01:34
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.44%E -0.756%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 01:34
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.44%E -0.756%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 01:34
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 00:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 00:29
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 19:34
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 20:48
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 01:44
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.09%E -3.35%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 23:34
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 19:34
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 03:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 19:39
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 20:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.68%E -1.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.02%E -2.16%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 01:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.68%E -1.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.09%E -3.35%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 01:54
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 01:50
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 00:28
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.09%E -3.35%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:30
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 01:29
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.02%E -2.16%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 02:44
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 00:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.06%E -2.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 00:29
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 01:39
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:49
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 02:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 01:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:49
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:50
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 00:28
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 00:28
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 01:49
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 00:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.10%E -3.15%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.10%E -3.15%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 02:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.10%E -3.15%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 02:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.10%E -3.15%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 02:04
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 02:04
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 02:04
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 02:04
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 02:04
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 02:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 02:04
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -9.49%E -5.08%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -6.60%E -3.65%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 02:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.98%E -5.36%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.18%E -5.22%K -12.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-21 00:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -9.98%E -5.36%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.70%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-21 01:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-21 03:04
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-21 00:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-21 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-21 03:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-21 03:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-21 03:09
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%5.1%2026-09-21 01:59
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-09-21 03:19