The School of Odds

San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-07-28 01:45 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 46.21%2.16fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.758%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.58%46.15%46.23%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.062.052.2051.55%48.56%48.78%45.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 53.79%1.86fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.85%53.77%55.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.771.8359.52%56.59%56.50%54.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.67%E +0.758%K +1.39%G +0.023%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-26 18:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.744%E +0.341%K +0.630%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.744%E +0.341%K +0.630%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 18:55
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.03%E -0.957%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.57%E -0.858%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-26 18:35
MyBookie.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:20
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.34%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 18:20
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.65%E -1.46%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 18:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:45
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 18:20
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 19:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:19
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:20
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.36%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.73%E -2.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 18:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.65%E -3.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:45
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.57%E -3.79%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.02%E -4.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -9.42%E -4.81%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.56%E -5.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.35%E -5.33%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.64%E -5.74%K -14.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-26 18:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-07-26 19:30
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%9.8%2026-07-26 18:20