L’École des cotes

San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-07-28 01:45 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prévision 45.13%2.22cote équitable
EV -0.718%
Avantage -0.327%
Kelly -0.599%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%45.28%45.17%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.092.092.2050.51%47.83%47.85%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.87%1.82cote équitable
EV +0.416%
Avantage +0.227%
Kelly +0.501%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.72%54.83%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.751.761.8360.24%57.06%56.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.416%E +0.227%K +0.501%G +0.002%2.3%2026-07-26 20:25
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -7.04%E -3.42%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -0.682%E -0.377%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 18:45
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.23%E -0.684%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.23%E -0.684%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.04%E -3.42%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.78%E -0.994%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 19:55
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.94%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 20:10
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.718%E -0.327%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-26 18:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.62%E -0.744%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.62%E -0.744%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 18:55
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.62%E -0.744%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 20:15
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%EV -2.07%E -0.955%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 20:15
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:10
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:25
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.33%E -2.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 20:13
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 20:15
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 20:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 19:55
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 19:55
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.88%E -1.82%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 20:10
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 20:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 20:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 20:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 20:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 20:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 20:15
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 20:10
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 20:10
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%EV -10.20%E -5.12%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.65%E -5.38%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 20:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-26 18:05
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%3.0%2026-07-26 20:20
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%9.8%2026-07-26 20:15