Language:English
San Francisco Giants v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Francisco Giants (Local)
Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd
EV -0.087%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.051%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%36.61%36.59%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.602.602.7340.32%38.42%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 63.40%1.58fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.39%63.41%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.29%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 36.60%; Houston Astros (Visit): 63.40%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.732. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.730, with an expected value of -0.087%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -0.087%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -0.087%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.087%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.09%E -0.701%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 01:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.55%E -0.577%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.28%E -0.855%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.28%E -0.855%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-12 01:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 01:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.43%E -5.09%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 23:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 00:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 01:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.21%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 01:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 01:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 01:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.43%E -5.09%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 01:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -9.24%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74% | -0.1% | 2026-08-12 01:44 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 01:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 01:30 |