Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-08-12 01:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 4–1 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 36.60%2.73odd justa
EV -0.087%
Vantagem -0.032%
Kelly -0.051%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.25%36.61%36.59%37.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.482.602.602.7340.32%38.42%38.46%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 63.40%1.58odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.701%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%63.39%63.41%64.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.29%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 36.60%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 63.40%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.732. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.730, com valor esperado de -0.087%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -0.087%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 23:09
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -0.087%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 00:10
Caesars🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.087%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.09%E -0.701%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-11 23:09
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 01:14
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 01:15
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.19%E -0.439%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 01:09
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.55%E -0.577%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 01:14
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.28%E -0.855%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 23:09
Bovada🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.28%E -0.855%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:59
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 23:45
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 23:15
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 01:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.43%E -5.09%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 01:34
SportsBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:39
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:13
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 11:19
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 23:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 01:45
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:09
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 00:39
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:09
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 01:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.21%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:39
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:55
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:54
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:54
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 10:00
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.68%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:45
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 01:33
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 01:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.43%E -5.09%K -16.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 01:18
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -9.24%E -3.72%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 23:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74%-0.1%2026-08-12 01:44
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-12 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-08-12 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-08-12 01:35
Polymarket◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-12 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-12 01:45
ProphetX◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-08-12 01:40
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-08-12 01:45
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-08-12 00:40
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.0%2026-08-12 01:30