Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 38.68%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 61.32%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.558%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV +0.558%E +0.215%K +0.349%G +0.002% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-25 00:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV +0.558%E +0.215%K +0.349%G +0.002% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-25 00:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%EV -0.215%E -0.083%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV -0.989%E -0.386%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -1.88%E -1.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.38%E -0.539%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.38%E -0.539%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.38%E -0.539%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.38%E -0.539%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.40%E -4.90%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.76%E -0.694%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 00:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.76%E -0.694%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.92%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.27%E -0.788%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.92%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-25 00:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.70%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.47%E -1.81%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-25 00:13 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.47%E -1.81%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-24 23:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 00:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 00:13 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 00:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.17%E -4.04%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.17%E -4.04%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.17%E -4.04%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.17%E -4.04%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.02%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.02%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.17%E -4.04%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.02%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.17%E -4.04%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.40%E -2.65%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 00:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.40%E -2.65%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-24 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 20:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.17%E -4.04%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -8.01%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.11%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.11%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.17%E -4.04%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-25 01:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 00:54 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20% | 2.5% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.7% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |