Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-25 01:45 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 42.46%2.36momio equitativo
EV +0.203%
Ventaja +0.086%
Kelly +0.149%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.39%42.60%43.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3647.62%44.59%44.44%42.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 57.54%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -3.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.68%57.61%57.40%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.661.671.6963.29%60.21%59.88%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Francisco Giants (Local): 42.46%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 57.54%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.355. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.360, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.203%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.203%E +0.086%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-24 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.222%E -0.094%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-24 01:04
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.222%E -0.094%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-24 01:59
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.07%E -0.460%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 22:34
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.07%E -0.460%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 01:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.92%E -0.831%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 22:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.92%E -0.831%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 22:34
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 23:04
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 23:34
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 20:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 20:19
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 01:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.93%E -4.96%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 01:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 23:39
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 01:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.04%E -1.79%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.63%E -3.43%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 01:49
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 23:12
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 23:34
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 23:34
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 23:34
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 22:34
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 01:54
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 22:39
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 01:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.63%E -3.43%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 01:44
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:14
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 20:10
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 23:39
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.32%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.32%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 23:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.32%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.32%E -2.38%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 23:54
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.74%E -2.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 22:39
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.74%E -2.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -5.74%E -2.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.17%E -2.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 23:38
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 23:34
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 23:54
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 23:54
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 23:54
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.33%E -1.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 23:54
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 23:54
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 23:00
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 01:49
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 23:39
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 23:37
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.59%E -3.00%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.63%E -3.43%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.86%E -3.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.86%E -3.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.06%E -3.06%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 23:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.71%E -4.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 01:49
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.99%E -4.71%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 23:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.84%E -5.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.08%E -5.75%K -15.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 22:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-08-24 01:54
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-08-24 02:04
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-24 01:29
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-23 22:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%5.6%2026-08-24 02:04
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%9.2%2026-08-24 02:04