Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 02:16 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 1–5 Chicago Cubs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 53.25%1.88fair odd
EV -0.426%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.490%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.34%53.25%54.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.791.8757.47%55.94%55.87%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 46.75%2.14fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.669%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.20%46.66%46.75%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1751.28%48.68%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 53.25%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 46.75%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +1.45%E +0.669%K +1.24%G +0.018%1.9%2026-06-13 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.517%E +0.240%K +0.449%G +0.002%2.4%2026-06-13 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.517%E +0.240%K +0.449%G +0.002%2.4%2026-06-13 01:48
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.09%E -1.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.418%E -0.196%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 02:10
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.886%E -0.418%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.886%E -0.418%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 00:59
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:49
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:59
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:00
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 00:59
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 16:00
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.426%E -0.228%K -0.490%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 02:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 15:50
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 20:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 15:49
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 15:48
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 22:19
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 15:49
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 15:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:10
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 15:49
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-13 00:19
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 16:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 21:49
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.09%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 16:09
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 15:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 21:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 02:07
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.37%E -4.27%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 01:48
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-06-13 02:08
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-13 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-13 02:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-13 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-13 02:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-13 02:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-13 02:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-06-13 02:10
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-06-13 02:10
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-06-13 02:00