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San Francisco Giants v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Francisco Giants (Local)
Predicción 53.25%1.88momio equitativo
EV -0.426%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.490%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.34%53.25%54.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.741.791.791.8757.47%55.94%55.87%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 46.75%2.14momio equitativo
EV +1.45%
Ventaja +0.669%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.20%46.66%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.052.052.1751.28%48.68%48.78%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Francisco Giants (Local): 53.25%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 46.75%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.14. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.17, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.45%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +1.45%E +0.669%K +1.24%G +0.018% | 1.9% | 2026-06-13 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.517%E +0.240%K +0.449%G +0.002% | 2.4% | 2026-06-13 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.517%E +0.240%K +0.449%G +0.002% | 2.4% | 2026-06-13 01:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.09%E -1.70%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.418%E -0.196%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.886%E -0.418%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.886%E -0.418%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-13 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 00:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 00:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 00:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 16:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.426%E -0.228%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 15:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 15:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 22:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-13 00:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 16:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.09%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-12 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-13 02:07 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.82%E -3.89%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.37%E -4.27%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-13 01:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-06-13 02:08 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.1% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |