语言:简体中文
San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
San Diego Padres (主队)
预测 63.89%1.57公平赔率
EV -1.61%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -2.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.54
博彩公司预测分布
62.85%63.93%63.86%65.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.491.501.5469.93%67.07%66.67%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
Washington Nationals (客队)
预测 36.11%2.77公平赔率
EV +2.18%
优势 +0.772%
Kelly +1.19%
增长率 +0.026%
假设最高赔率为 2.83
博彩公司预测分布
34.49%36.07%36.14%37.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.472.642.652.8340.49%37.87%37.74%35.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：San Diego Padres (主队)：63.89%；Washington Nationals (客队)：36.11%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.77。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.83，对应+2.18%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.18%E +0.772%K +1.19%G +0.026% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.379%E +0.136%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.379%E +0.136%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.704%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.704%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.07%E -0.389%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -1.43%E -0.523%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -1.61%E -1.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.87%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.59%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 11:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 16:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 18:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 01:57 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.20%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.20%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.63%E -6.04%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 21:07 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.85%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.15%EV -10.81%E -4.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | -0.0% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |