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San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
San Diego Padres (Хозяева)
Прогноз 63.89%1.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.61%
Преимущество -1.04%
Kelly -2.97%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
62.85%63.93%63.86%65.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.431.491.501.5469.93%67.07%66.67%64.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Washington Nationals (Гости)
Прогноз 36.11%2.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.18%
Преимущество +0.772%
Kelly +1.19%
Рост +0.026%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.49%36.07%36.14%37.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.472.642.652.8340.49%37.87%37.74%35.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: San Diego Padres (Хозяева): 63.89%; Washington Nationals (Гости): 36.11%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.77. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.83, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.18%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.18%E +0.772%K +1.19%G +0.026% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.379%E +0.136%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.379%E +0.136%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.704%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.704%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.07%E -0.389%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -1.43%E -0.523%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -1.61%E -1.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.87%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.59%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 11:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 16:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 18:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 01:57 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.20%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.20%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.63%E -6.04%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 21:07 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.85%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.15%EV -10.81%E -4.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | -0.0% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |