Idioma:Español
San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Diego Padres (Local)
Predicción 63.89%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.85%63.93%63.86%65.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.501.5469.93%67.07%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 36.11%2.77momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.772%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.49%36.07%36.14%37.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.472.642.652.8340.49%37.87%37.74%35.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 63.89%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 36.11%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.77. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.18%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.18%E +0.772%K +1.19%G +0.026% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.379%E +0.136%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.379%E +0.136%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.704%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-07 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.704%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.07%E -0.389%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -1.43%E -0.523%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -1.61%E -1.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.87%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.59%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 11:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 16:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 18:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 01:57 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.68%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.20%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.20%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.63%E -6.04%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -9.73%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 21:07 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.85%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.15%EV -10.81%E -4.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | -0.0% | 2026-09-07 21:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 21:10 |