The School of Odds

San Diego Padres v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-07-11 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 51.06%1.96fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.03%51.05%51.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.871.9156%54%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%48.97%48.95%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.941.952.0153%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.64%E -0.815%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 02:20
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:54
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:54
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 02:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 00:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:15
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:10
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -3.49%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -1.64%E -0.815%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-10 02:25
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.49%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 02:13
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 23:19
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 02:25
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 02:24
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:39
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:39
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 00:39
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:54
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:09
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:09
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 23:35
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:57
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:09
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:09
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 02:25
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 02:09
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:24
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 02:15
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:39
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:39
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:39
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:39
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:39
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:39
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:59
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 00:39
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 02:08
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 02:13
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 23:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 23:14
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:09
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 02:09
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 00:39
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 02:09
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.09%E -4.49%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 02:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-07-10 02:34
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-10 01:45
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-07-10 02:34
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-07-10 02:30
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-10 01:45
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-07-10 02:20
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%8.7%2026-07-10 02:35