مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v Toronto Blue Jays

البداية: 2026-07-11 01:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 3–5 Toronto Blue Jays

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.07%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.693%
Kelly -1.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.59%53.07%53.06%54.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.811.801.8657.47%55.38%55.56%53.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.93%2.13السعر العادل
EV +0.430%
الأفضلية +0.201%
Kelly +0.377%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.69%46.93%46.94%48.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.032.022.1451.55%49.29%49.50%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV +0.430%E +0.201%K +0.377%G +0.002%2.3%2026-07-11 01:34
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.978%E -0.464%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 01:39
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.689%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 01:39
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.689%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 01:34
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.45%E -0.689%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 14:53
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.82%E -0.984%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.92%E -0.917%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 01:19
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.82%E -0.984%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 01:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 01:34
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.29%E -0.693%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 01:14
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 01:38
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 01:39
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.32%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 00:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:34
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 14:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 14:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:34
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:34
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:15
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 01:39
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 01:39
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 00:59
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 00:59
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:50
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:59
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:59
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:59
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:59
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:59
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:59
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 00:59
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 00:59
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 00:59
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 00:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:35
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 00:59
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 01:39
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.82%E -0.984%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 01:24
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:44
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 01:19
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 14:49
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 00:49
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 14:49
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 15:04
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 14:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 14:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 08:15
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 17:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 01:37
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.61%E -3.32%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 01:29
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 01:39
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 00:59
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 00:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 00:44
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -8.96%E -4.62%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 01:18
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-11 01:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-11 01:35
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-11 01:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-11 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-11 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-11 01:30
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-11 00:49
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-11 01:30
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-11 01:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%3.4%2026-07-11 01:39