Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-05-08 02:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 1–2 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 59.51%1.68odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.733%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.59%59.47%59.57%61.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.591.591.6665.36%62.71%62.89%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 40.49%2.47odd justa
EV +1.23%
Vantagem +0.492%
Kelly +0.820%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.57%40.53%40.43%42.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.382.392.5045.45%41.98%41.84%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 59.51%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 40.49%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.47. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.23%E +0.492%K +0.820%G +0.010%3.7%2026-05-08 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.421%E +0.170%K +0.284%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-08 02:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.421%E +0.170%K +0.284%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-08 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-08 02:09
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:54
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 02:09
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 02:08
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 02:04
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 01:45
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 20:14
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 22:34
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 00:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 01:54
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 12:29
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.22%E -0.733%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 02:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 23:29
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 23:44
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 01:45
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 19:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 02:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 01:50
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 02:10
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 01:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 02:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 02:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 02:09
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 01:54
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 02:09
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 02:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-05-08 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:09
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-08 02:00
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-05-08 02:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-07 21:40
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-05-08 02:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-05-08 02:10