مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals

البداية: 2026-05-08 02:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 1–2 St. Louis Cardinals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.51%1.68السعر العادل
EV -1.22%
الأفضلية -0.733%
Kelly -1.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.59%59.47%59.57%61.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.591.591.6665.36%62.71%62.89%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.49%2.47السعر العادل
EV +1.23%
الأفضلية +0.492%
Kelly +0.820%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.57%40.53%40.43%42.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.382.392.5045.45%41.98%41.84%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.23%E +0.492%K +0.820%G +0.010%3.7%2026-05-08 02:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.421%E +0.170%K +0.284%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-08 02:04
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.421%E +0.170%K +0.284%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-08 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-08 02:09
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 21:54
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:54
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 02:09
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 02:08
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 02:04
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 01:45
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 20:14
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 22:34
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 00:49
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 01:54
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 12:29
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.22%E -0.733%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 01:49
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 02:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 02:04
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 23:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 02:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 22:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 23:44
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:49
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 01:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 01:45
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 19:49
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 02:00
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 01:50
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 02:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 01:35
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 01:34
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 02:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 02:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 02:09
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 01:54
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 02:09
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 02:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 02:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-05-08 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:09
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-08 02:00
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-05-08 02:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-07 21:40
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-05-08 02:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-05-08 02:10