La scuola delle quote

San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals

Inizio: 2026-05-08 02:11 UTC

Finale: San Diego Padres 1–2 St. Louis Cardinals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Diego Padres (Casa)

Previsione 59.51%1.68quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.733%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.59%59.47%59.57%61.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.591.591.6665.36%62.71%62.89%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.49%2.47quota equa
EV +1.23%
Vantaggio +0.492%
Kelly +0.820%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.57%40.53%40.43%42.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.382.392.5045.45%41.98%41.84%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.23%E +0.492%K +0.820%G +0.010%3.7%2026-05-08 02:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.421%E +0.170%K +0.284%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-08 02:04
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.421%E +0.170%K +0.284%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-08 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:05
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 02:04
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.794%E -0.324%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 02:05
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-08 02:09
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 21:54
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -1.20%E -0.491%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:54
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 02:09
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 02:08
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 02:04
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 01:45
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 20:14
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 22:34
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 00:49
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 01:54
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 12:29
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.22%E -0.733%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 01:49
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 02:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 02:04
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 23:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 02:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 22:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 23:44
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:49
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 01:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 01:45
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 19:49
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 02:00
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 01:50
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 02:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 01:35
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 01:34
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 02:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 02:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 02:09
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 01:54
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 02:09
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 02:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 02:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-05-08 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:10
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-08 02:09
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-08 02:00
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-05-08 02:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-07 21:40
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-05-08 02:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-05-08 02:10