Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 1–4 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.29%60.15%61.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.581.6365.36%63.16%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.764%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.16%39.71%39.85%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.5644.44%41.70%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 60.17%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 39.83%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.96%E +0.764%K +1.25%G +0.025%2.4%2026-07-31 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +1.16%E +0.456%K +0.753%G +0.009%2.7%2026-07-31 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +1.16%E +0.456%K +0.753%G +0.009%2.7%2026-07-31 01:40
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.434%E -0.174%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 01:20
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.434%E -0.174%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 21:40
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.434%E -0.174%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.434%E -0.174%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.434%E -0.174%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:39
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.434%E -0.174%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:40
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.03%E -0.824%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-30 22:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.43%E -0.990%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.43%E -0.990%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.43%E -0.990%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 01:30
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.82%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.52%E -1.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.22%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-30 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.52%E -1.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.22%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-30 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.62%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 21:40
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 22:19
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 22:24
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 22:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 21:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:50
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:49
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:50
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.93%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 22:20
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:25
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 23:19
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 01:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 01:30
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -8.80%E -3.84%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.20%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 23:20
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.52%E -1.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-07-31 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-31 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-31 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-31 01:40
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-31 01:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-30 22:00
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-30 22:25
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-31 01:40
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-31 01:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-07-31 01:40

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