Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

2026-07-31 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 53.99%1.85momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.93%53.95%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.771.771.8159.52%56.60%56.50%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 46.01%2.17momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -0.941%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%46.07%46.05%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.062.052.1551.02%48.54%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 19:05
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.08%E -0.503%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 21:29
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.00%E -0.940%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 22:55
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 21:25
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 21:25
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:55
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.98%E -3.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.30%E -2.07%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.30%E -2.07%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 00:30
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.30%E -2.07%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 00:30
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.30%E -2.07%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 00:30
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 19:10
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.38%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:30
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:30
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:30
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:30
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:30
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 01:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.60%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:00
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.60%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:00
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.38%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 01:25
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.38%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 01:45
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:55
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:05
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 03:04
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:45
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:30
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:30
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.97%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.84%E -1.84%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.30%E -2.07%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 21:45
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.30%E -2.07%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 22:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 21:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 21:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 19:10
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 00:59
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 01:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.38%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 21:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.68%E -2.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 02:19
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.13%E -4.15%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.08%E -0.503%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 02:55
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.13%E -4.15%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.38%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 00:15
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.67%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.36%E -4.75%K -9.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-30 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.44%E -4.24%K -8.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-30 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -9.29%E -5.53%K -13.67%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -9.82%E -5.01%K -10.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-29 21:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66%0.0%2026-07-30 03:15
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-29 20:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 02:40
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-07-30 02:50
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%2.5%2026-07-30 03:05
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%5.2%2026-07-30 02:05
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%8.6%2026-07-30 03:15