默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres v New York Yankees

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 01:41 UTC

最终结果: San Diego Padres 3–2 New York Yankees

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres (主队)

预测 47.69%2.10公平赔率
EV +0.142%
优势 +0.067%
Kelly +0.129%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.31%47.48%47.78%48.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.45%49.50%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 52.31%1.91公平赔率
EV -0.081%
优势 -0.042%
Kelly -0.089%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
51.15%52.52%52.22%54.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.811.801.9158.14%55.24%55.56%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:San Diego Padres (主队):47.69%;New York Yankees (客队):52.31%。 对于“San Diego Padres (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.097。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.100,对应+0.142%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.97%E -5.16%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:10
theScore Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -0.335%E -0.160%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -5.31%E -2.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:34
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:34
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:15
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:35
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 09:35
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:03
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.13%E -0.597%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.65%E -0.878%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 14:00
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 14:35
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:05
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:35
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:29
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:04
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.93%E -4.50%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.93%E -4.50%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:24
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.081%E -0.042%K -0.089%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:28
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:20
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:04
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:04
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:29
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:04
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.10%E -2.56%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:04
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.31%E -2.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.02%E -5.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:19
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-04 14:00
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-09-04 14:20