Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-09-05 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 3–2 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 47.69%2.10odd justa
EV +0.142%
Vantagem +0.067%
Kelly +0.129%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.31%47.48%47.78%48.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.45%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 52.31%1.91odd justa
EV -0.081%
Vantagem -0.042%
Kelly -0.089%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.15%52.52%52.22%54.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.811.801.9158.14%55.24%55.56%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 47.69%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 52.31%. Para San Diego Padres (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.097. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.100, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.142%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.97%E -5.16%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:10
theScore Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -0.335%E -0.160%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -5.31%E -2.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:34
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:34
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:15
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:35
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 09:35
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:03
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.13%E -0.597%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.65%E -0.878%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 14:00
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 14:35
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:05
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:35
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:29
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:04
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.93%E -4.50%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.93%E -4.50%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:24
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.081%E -0.042%K -0.089%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:28
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:20
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:04
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:04
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:29
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:04
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.10%E -2.56%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:04
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.31%E -2.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.02%E -5.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:19
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-04 14:00
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-09-04 14:20