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San Diego Padres v New York Yankees
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Diego Padres (Local)
Predicción 47.69%2.10momio equitativo
EV +0.142%
Ventaja +0.067%
Kelly +0.129%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%47.48%47.78%48.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.45%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Yankees (Visitante)
Predicción 52.31%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.081%
Ventaja -0.042%
Kelly -0.089%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.15%52.52%52.22%54.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.811.801.9158.14%55.24%55.56%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 47.69%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 52.31%. Para San Diego Padres (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.097. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.100, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.142%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.142%E +0.067%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.97%E -5.16%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -0.335%E -0.160%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -5.31%E -2.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.29%E -0.623%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.13%E -0.597%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.65%E -0.878%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.93%E -4.50%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.93%E -4.50%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.081%E -0.042%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.10%E -2.56%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.31%E -2.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.02%E -5.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.36%E -3.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |