Language:English
San Diego Padres v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV +0.550%
Edge +0.256%
Kelly +0.478%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.60%46.75%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.87%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 53.23%1.88fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.40%53.25%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.82%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 46.77%; New York Mets (Visit): 53.23%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.550%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.550%E +0.256%K +0.478%G +0.003% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-07 01:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.386%E -0.181%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-07 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.32%E -0.626%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.79%E -0.852%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-07 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.79%E -0.852%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.79%E -0.852%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.79%E -0.852%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.26%E -1.08%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.52%E -0.821%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-07 01:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.26%E -1.08%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-07 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.26%E -1.08%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-07 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.19%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.19%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-06 07:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-06 20:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 20:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 20:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 12:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-07 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 12:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 12:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 01:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-07 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-06 17:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 00:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-06 14:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 12:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 03:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-07 02:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-07 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.34%E -4.25%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-07 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.34%E -4.25%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.80%E -4.51%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 23:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12% | 0.1% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-06-07 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-06-06 02:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-06-06 15:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.0% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.1% | 2026-06-07 02:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.06% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.94% | 2.7% | 2026-06-07 02:10 |