مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v New York Mets

البداية: 2026-06-07 02:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 3–2 New York Mets

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.77%2.14السعر العادل
EV +0.550%
الأفضلية +0.256%
Kelly +0.478%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.74%46.60%46.75%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.87%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Mets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.23%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.52%
الأفضلية -0.821%
Kelly -1.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.40%53.25%55.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.82%55.56%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.550%E +0.256%K +0.478%G +0.003%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 01:29
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.386%E -0.181%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-07 01:59
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.32%E -0.626%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 02:09
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.79%E -0.852%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 01:59
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.79%E -0.852%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 02:09
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.79%E -0.852%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 02:09
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.79%E -0.852%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 02:09
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.26%E -1.08%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.52%E -0.821%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-07 01:49
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.26%E -1.08%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 01:59
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.26%E -1.08%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 01:59
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.19%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-07 00:19
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.19%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 02:09
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 07:29
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 02:09
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 20:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 18:50
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 12:20
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 20:29
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 20:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 12:19
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 12:19
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 12:19
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 12:19
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 02:09
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 01:29
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 16:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 16:49
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 16:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 23:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 02:00
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 00:19
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.65%E -2.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 00:19
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 02:09
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 17:29
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 00:19
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 00:18
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 00:19
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 00:19
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 00:19
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 00:19
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 14:19
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.59%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 02:09
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 12:19
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 01:39
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 00:19
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 00:19
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 00:19
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 00:19
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:29
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 02:09
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 03:59
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 02:00
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 00:19
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.34%E -4.25%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-07 01:49
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.34%E -4.25%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-06 10:20
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.80%E -4.51%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 23:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-06-07 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-06-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-06-07 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-06-07 02:09
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-06 02:50
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-06 15:39
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-06-07 02:09
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-06-07 02:09
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-06-07 02:09
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.06%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.94%2.7%2026-06-07 02:10