Language:English
San Diego Padres v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 52.98%1.89fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%52.99%53.02%54.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.801.8657.47%55.41%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 47.02%2.13fair odd
EV +0.157%
Edge +0.074%
Kelly +0.139%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.94%47.01%46.98%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.032.022.1351.55%49.25%49.50%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 52.98%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 47.02%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.127. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.130, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.157%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.157%E +0.074%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.314%E -0.148%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.314%E -0.148%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -0.784%E -0.371%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 01:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.72%E -0.825%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 23:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.46%E -0.785%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.66%E -1.29%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.66%E -1.29%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.13%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.13%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.55%E -2.24%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.49%E -2.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-21 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.49%E -2.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 23:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.90%E -3.48%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 19:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.37%E -3.74%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 01:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 01:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 01:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -8.78%E -4.52%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 23:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 01:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 01:39 |