Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-22 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 6–2 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 52.98%1.89odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.785%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%52.99%53.02%54.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.801.801.8657.47%55.41%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 47.02%2.13odd justa
EV +0.157%
Vantagem +0.074%
Kelly +0.139%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.94%47.01%46.98%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.032.022.1351.55%49.25%49.50%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 52.98%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 47.02%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.127. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.130, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.157%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.157%E +0.074%K +0.139%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.314%E -0.148%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.314%E -0.148%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 01:39
DraftKings🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -0.784%E -0.371%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-22 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-22 01:39
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 14:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 01:39
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.25%E -0.597%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 01:39
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.72%E -0.825%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 23:39
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.46%E -0.785%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.66%E -1.29%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.66%E -1.29%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.13%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.13%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:39
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:45
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:33
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.55%E -2.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.05%E -1.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 01:39
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:45
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:45
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:44
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 01:39
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 01:39
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.17%E -2.89%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.02%E -2.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.49%E -2.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.49%E -2.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.58%E -1.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:44
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 23:54
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 01:39
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 16:39
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 01:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 01:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.90%E -3.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.29%E -4.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.37%E -3.74%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 01:38
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 01:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 01:34
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.82%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -8.78%E -4.52%K -9.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 23:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-08-22 00:04
ProphetX◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-22 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-22 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-22 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-22 01:40
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-21 16:55
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-21 16:50
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-08-22 01:40
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-08-22 01:35
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%3.4%2026-08-22 01:39