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San Diego Padres v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 47.62%2.10fair odd
EV +0.959%
Edge +0.452%
Kelly +0.856%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.33%47.59%47.64%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.1252.36%49.93%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 52.38%1.91fair odd
EV -0.482%
Edge -0.254%
Kelly -0.535%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%52.41%52.36%53.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9056.50%54.71%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 47.62%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 52.38%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.959%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV +0.959%E +0.452%K +0.856%G +0.008% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.946%E -0.455%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.946%E -0.455%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 19:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.85%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-12 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -3.33%E -1.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -0.482%E -0.254%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-12 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.482%E -0.254%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 17:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.28%E -2.13%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.67%E -2.57%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.23%E -2.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.67%E -2.57%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.71%E -2.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.62%E -1.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.62%E -1.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.66%E -3.40%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.20%E -2.87%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.66%E -3.40%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.20%E -2.87%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 19:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 19:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 17:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -8.09%E -4.19%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.77%E -3.80%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 19:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.04%E -4.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-08-12 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-08-12 20:04 |