Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-08-12 20:10 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 47.62%2.10odd justa
EV +0.959%
Vantagem +0.452%
Kelly +0.856%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.33%47.59%47.64%48.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.1252.36%49.93%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 52.38%1.91odd justa
EV -0.482%
Vantagem -0.254%
Kelly -0.535%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.32%52.41%52.36%53.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.831.831.9056.50%54.71%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 47.62%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 52.38%. Para San Diego Padres (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.10. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.12, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.959%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV +0.959%E +0.452%K +0.856%G +0.008%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 20:04
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.946%E -0.455%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.58%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 17:05
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.946%E -0.455%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 19:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 19:04
Caesars🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 19:58
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.42%E -0.687%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 18:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:30
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 20:05
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 18:35
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.85%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 18:24
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -3.33%E -1.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -0.482%E -0.254%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 19:35
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.482%E -0.254%K -0.535%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 19:35
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 20:04
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:04
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.28%E -2.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 19:54
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.05%E -1.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-12 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 19:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 20:04
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 19:24
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.67%E -2.57%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 18:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 18:54
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.23%E -2.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.67%E -2.57%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 20:04
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.71%E -2.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.62%E -1.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:59
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.62%E -1.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 20:05
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:45
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:55
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:44
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.18%E -3.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.66%E -3.40%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.20%E -2.87%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.66%E -3.40%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.20%E -2.87%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.10%E -1.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:44
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 19:59
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 17:43
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -8.09%E -4.19%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.77%E -3.80%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 19:48
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.04%E -4.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-12 19:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-08-12 20:05
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-12 19:45
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-12 20:05
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-08-12 19:55
BetOpenly◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%1.8%2026-08-12 19:55
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-08-12 18:00
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-08-12 20:04