Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 3–15 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 35.32%2.83fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.594%
Kelly +0.910%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.32%35.41%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.692.702.8839.22%37.11%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 64.68%1.55fair odd
EV +0.260%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.472%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.68%64.59%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5569.93%67.66%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 35.32%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 64.68%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV +1.71%E +0.594%K +0.910%G +0.016%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 00:40
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV +1.36%E +0.473%K +0.726%G +0.010%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -3.62%E -2.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +1.00%E +0.351%K +0.540%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 00:40
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV +0.652%E +0.229%K +0.352%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-28 00:39
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.652%E +0.229%K +0.352%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.86%E -4.76%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 00:39
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.652%E +0.229%K +0.352%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.50%E -5.25%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 21:09
DraftKings🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -2.53%E -0.916%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 00:38
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-27 22:50
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.62%E -2.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-28 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 00:40
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 00:40
Bovada🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.59%E -1.31%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.94%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 00:39
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 12:10
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 00:30
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:50
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:49
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:49
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:50
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.21%E -4.28%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 21:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -5.00%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 00:39
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 21:50
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -5.71%E -2.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV +0.260%E +0.168%K +0.472%G +0.001%2.0%2026-06-27 21:49
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.71%E -2.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 12:00
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.71%E -2.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 11:50
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 00:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 00:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 00:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 21:49
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.50%E -5.25%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 22:50
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -0.387%E -0.251%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-28 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.86%E -4.76%K -15.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 22:19
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.86%E -4.76%K -15.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 00:39
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.68%E -1.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 21:49
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.86%E -4.76%K -15.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 00:38
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -9.24%E -3.59%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.33%E -1.54%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -9.24%E -3.59%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.33%E -1.54%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 00:38
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.21%E -4.28%K -13.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 00:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-28 00:40
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-28 00:30
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-28 00:39
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-28 00:39
BetOpenly2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-06-28 00:39
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-06-28 00:40
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.5%2026-06-28 00:40