Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-06-28 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 3–15 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 35.32%2.83momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.594%
Kelly +0.910%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%35.32%35.41%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.692.702.8839.22%37.11%37.04%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 64.68%1.55momio equitativo
EV +0.260%
Ventaja +0.168%
Kelly +0.472%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.96%64.68%64.59%66.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.481.481.5569.93%67.66%67.57%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 35.32%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 64.68%. Para San Diego Padres (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.83. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.88, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.71%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV +1.71%E +0.594%K +0.910%G +0.016%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 00:40
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV +1.36%E +0.473%K +0.726%G +0.010%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -3.62%E -2.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +1.00%E +0.351%K +0.540%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 00:40
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV +0.652%E +0.229%K +0.352%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-28 00:39
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.652%E +0.229%K +0.352%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.86%E -4.76%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 00:39
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.652%E +0.229%K +0.352%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.50%E -5.25%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 21:09
DraftKings🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -2.53%E -0.916%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 00:38
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-27 22:50
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.62%E -2.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-28 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 00:40
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.88%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 00:40
Bovada🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -3.59%E -1.31%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.94%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 00:39
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 12:10
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 00:30
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 23:29
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:50
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:49
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:49
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 22:50
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.21%E -4.28%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 21:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -5.00%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 00:39
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 21:50
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -5.71%E -2.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV +0.260%E +0.168%K +0.472%G +0.001%2.0%2026-06-27 21:49
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.71%E -2.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 12:00
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.71%E -2.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.27%E -2.88%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 11:50
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 00:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.92%E -3.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 00:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 00:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.56%E -3.81%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 21:49
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.50%E -5.25%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-27 22:50
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -0.387%E -0.251%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-28 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.86%E -4.76%K -15.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 22:19
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.86%E -4.76%K -15.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 00:39
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.68%E -1.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 21:49
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.86%E -4.76%K -15.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 00:38
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -9.24%E -3.59%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.33%E -1.54%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -9.24%E -3.59%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -2.33%E -1.54%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 21:50
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.97%E -1.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 00:38
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.21%E -4.28%K -13.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 00:37
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-28 00:40
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-28 00:30
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-28 00:39
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-06-28 00:39
BetOpenly2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-06-28 00:39
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-06-28 00:40
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.5%2026-06-28 00:40