Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Detroit Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 20:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 46.72%2.14fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +2.32%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%46.53%46.75%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.062.052.2052.63%48.52%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 53.28%1.88fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.774%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.47%53.25%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.781.8559.52%56.31%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 46.72%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 53.28%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +2.78%E +1.27%K +2.32%G +0.065%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 17:14
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV +0.915%E +0.424%K +0.789%G +0.007%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -9.96%E -5.89%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 20:05
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV +0.915%E +0.424%K +0.789%G +0.007%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -9.96%E -5.89%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 20:04
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +0.448%E +0.208%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 20:09
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 20:09
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 20:09
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 20:10
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 20:10
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 16:38
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.43%E -0.774%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-26 19:54
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.43%E -0.774%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-26 20:09
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 16:40
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-26 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-26 16:40
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:09
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 20:09
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.43%E -0.774%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-26 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 17:33
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 16:35
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 17:04
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 16:39
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 19:59
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:39
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 20:09
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 16:39
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 16:55
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:59
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 17:04
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.78%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 19:49
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 17:44
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 17:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -11.23%E -5.91%K -12.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.07%EV -10.49%E -6.24%K -15.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -11.23%E -5.91%K -12.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.07%EV -10.49%E -6.24%K -15.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 19:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%0.4%2026-03-26 20:07
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%0.5%2026-03-26 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-26 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-26 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-26 20:05
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-26 20:09
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-03-26 20:05
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-26 20:04
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-26 20:10
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.9%2026-03-26 20:09