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San Diego Padres v Detroit Tigers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Diego Padres (Local)
Predicción 46.72%2.14momio equitativo
EV +2.78%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +2.32%
Crecimiento +0.065%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.59%46.53%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.062.052.2052.63%48.52%48.78%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Detroit Tigers (Visitante)
Predicción 53.28%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.774%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.47%53.25%56.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.781.781.8559.52%56.31%56.18%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 46.72%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 53.28%. Para San Diego Padres (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.14. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.78%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +2.78%E +1.27%K +2.32%G +0.065% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV +0.915%E +0.424%K +0.789%G +0.007% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -9.96%E -5.89%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV +0.915%E +0.424%K +0.789%G +0.007% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -9.96%E -5.89%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +0.448%E +0.208%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 20:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.43%E -0.774%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-26 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.43%E -0.774%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-26 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-26 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.43%E -0.774%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 19:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.76%E -1.82%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 17:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 17:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 18:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 18:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.78%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 19:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 19:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -11.23%E -5.91%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.07%EV -10.49%E -6.24%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-26 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -11.23%E -5.91%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.07%EV -10.49%E -6.24%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 0.4% | 2026-03-26 20:07 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38% | 0.5% | 2026-03-26 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-03-26 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |