Language:English
San Diego Padres v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 54.84%1.82fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.421%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%54.77%54.69%55.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.741.8360.24%57.38%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 45.16%2.21fair odd
EV +0.265%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%45.23%45.31%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.102.102.2251.55%47.52%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 54.84%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 45.16%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.349%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +0.349%E +0.191%K +0.421%G +0.001% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.93%E -6.12%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.30%E -0.720%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.54%E -0.707%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 19:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +0.265%E +0.119%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.187%E -0.084%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.638%E -0.290%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.638%E -0.290%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.638%E -0.290%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.14%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.59%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -8.97%E -5.41%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -12.38%E -6.38%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -8.97%E -5.41%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -12.38%E -6.38%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-28 01:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |